After a high level of M&A activity in Panama in the period between 2006 and 2008 (principally in the financial industry), M&A activity has again picked up considerably in the last few years across an ample spectrum of industries. In 2012, we expect the level of M&A activity in Panama to continue its recent growth, or at the least remain stable.
Although difficult to project, we expect the M&A activity to continue to be evenly distributed among several industries, which will most likely include the financial services industry, the telecommunications industry, the mining industry, the energy industry, the tourism industry and the food industry (both food manufacturing and consumer sales).
We expect to see a higher level of outright acquisitions, followed by mergers, minority investments and a few joint ventures. Outright acquisitions have historically been the leading type of deal, and we expect that trend to continue.
Traditionally, the majority of M&A transactions in recent years have been in deals involving a domestic target and a foreign acquirer from Latin America, Europe or the United States. During this time, although in lower numbers, several purely domestic deals have also taken place. Less frequent are deals involving a domestic acquirer and a foreign target in Latin America or outside Latin America. We expect this trend to continue to hold true, in that we forecast that most of the M&A transactions to take place in 2012 will continue to likely involve a domestic target and a foreign acquirer, with most foreign investors coming from Latin America, Europe and the United States.
The level of private equity activity is not particularly high in Panama. Although there have been cases of international private equity funds investing in Panama in certain specific industries (like the power distribution industry), such cases are rather few and far between.
Acquisition financing is available for deals in Panama. With an internationally recognised banking centre, Panama has become an important hub for
financial services, including acquisition financing. However, given that most M&A
activity involves foreign investors looking to acquire a domestic target, it is often the case that such foreign investors have secured their acquisition financing abroad, whether from strategic buyers or equity buyers. It is important to note that Panamas economy is unique in the region. It is a heavily service-oriented economy, with more than 75 per cent of the gross domestic product and 50 per cent of the nations employment resulting from this sector.
For the past seven years Panama has had an impressive average GDP growth. Panamas gross domestic product has increased despite the recent economic downturn. In 2010 Moodys (Baa), Standard & Poor (BBB-) and Fitch Ratings (BBB-) awarded Panama an investment grade rating, which has been maintained in 2011. The achievement of investment grade signifies the culmination of a painstaking and lengthy process begun in the 1990s to establish a solid macroeconomic framework for the country. The positive outlooks by rating agencies, banks and financial institutions speak highly of the confidence in
Panamas economic position and of the prospect for growth and stability in
Panama in the long term. Improvements in Panamas fiscal accounts coupled with strong economic growth in the last decade have allowed the country to maintain manageable levels of debt, which in turn have permitted us to responsibly meet our credit obligations, both domestically and internationally. Panama has
significantly decreased its levels of debt in recent years and our sovereign bonds were already trading on par with countries like Brazil. Panama today continues to have one of the better-performing economies in Latin America. The four major sectors of our economy - logistics and transportation, financial services, tourism and construction - continue to experience solid growth. Panama continues to be a major destination for foreign direct investment, attracting more FDI as a proportion of GDP than most countries in the hemisphere. The
Panama Canal Expansion Programme of the Panama Canal Authority, which will
double the Canals capacity by its completion in 2014, will in time increase Canal
contributions to the National Treasury fourfold. Moreover, the current government administration has recently committed US$12 billion for a five-year investment plan to improve the competitiveness of our economy, of which US$4 billion has been set aside for national infrastructure projects. The investment grade has been a milestone for our county and an acknowledgement of the countrys sound economic standing, but more importantly, in practice it has allowed Panama to lessen the burden of its debt obligations by gaining access to cheaper financing. Also, it has significantly increased the interest of international banks and other financial institutions to finance projects and acquisitions in Panama.
No, there has not been a lot of M&A activity involving financially troubled companies, and we do not expect this to be a particular area of activity in 2012.
Panamas bankruptcy regulation is somewhat dated. As opposed to other countries, like the United States that allow companies to reorganise as a going concern (chapter 11 provisions), Panama does not have a similar bankruptcy regulation. In some regulated activities (banking, insurance, securities), specific regulation does allow for regulatory intervention that could result in some form of reorganisation of the particular entity as a going concern, but these cases are the exception and not the rule. In practice, the probability of an acquisition of a Panamanian entity out of bankruptcy is not likely.
As mentioned above, Panama has had impressive economic growth in recent years despite world economic downturn. In a sense, Panama was able to weather the worst of the crisis without suffering any short-term effects. In that regard, there were no other types of activities (the restructuring or exchange of debt, the sale of non-core businesses, activist shareholders, etc) that could be directly attributed to the economic situation.
We have not perceived an increase in hostile takeovers or shareholder activism in Panama, or at least none due to the recent worldwide economic downturn.
As noted earlier, since Panama was able to avoid the worst of the worldwide economic crisis, any change in the way that directors conduct themselves in general, and in M&A deals in particular, could not be directly attributed to the economic situation. However, it is worth mentioning that, in general terms, the board of directors of operational Panamanian companies, and especially those in regulated industries have become significantly more professional and sophisticated, and are therefore more likely to be concerned about issues like negative publicity, shareholder criticism, regulatory pressure and liability from potential litigation, whether or not in the context of an M&A transaction.
There are still notable differences in how domestic and cross-border deals are being conducted. The type of purchase agreement used in Panama depends a great deal on the nature of the transaction. If the transaction involves a domestic acquirer and a domestic target, it is very likely that the purchase agreement will be a far simpler document than a purchase agreement used when the acquirer is a foreign investor. The differences are mostly reflected in the amount and scope of the representations and warranties, and the affirmative and negative covenants, which tend to me more comprehensive in international-style purchase agreements.
The size of the transaction will also have great bearing on the type of purchase agreement that is finally used. As a general rule, foreign investors tend to feel more comfortable using international-style purchase agreements, most often governed by New York law, and using both New York counsel and Panamanian counsel in its drafting and negotiation. Given that there are a larger number of transactions involving foreign acquirers, the international style purchase agreement is being used more often.
As must be the case for most jurisdictions, the three key elements in our estimation to be taken into consideration by potential buyers and investors in Panama, are to:
No specific changes have taken place in Panama in regard to how M&A transactions are conducted.
Law No. 67 of 1 September 2011, created the Superintendence of the Securities Market (formerly known as the National Securities Commission) and modified certain dispositions of Decree Law No. 1 of 1999 (the Securities Law). Most of the modifications related to the overall administrative structure and operations of the securities regulator, the Superintendence of the Securities Market, but some of the modifications do touch on certain substantial issues relating to the regulatory framework of the securities market.
There have not been many recent regulatory developments in this regard, except for a recent amendment to the Panama mining code, which among other changes, was amended to allow the possibility of foreign governments to directly invest in companies that have been awarded local mining concessions. This is an important development that could certainly result in increased M&A activity, as there are important confirmed metallic mineral deposits either under concession or under current study which will certainly attract foreign investment to Panama, particularly by foreign governments looking to secure future metallic mineral sources. It is also worth mentioning that the current government administration intends to introduce certain reforms to the securities regulation mostly to restructure the National Securities Commission.
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